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4

Queen Juno

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 89

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 12/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11912/07C6C6 @ Ellis Park 03/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 84 · 6f 119 · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 84 parC6 @ Gulfstream 14/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 54 · 5f Fm 122 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 54 par14/02C6OR 54C6 @ Woodbine 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 5f Fas 119 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 65 parC6 @ Woodbine 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 66 · 5f 120 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 66 par20/06C6OR 66C5 @ Saratoga 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 78 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 78 parC5 @ Saratoga 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 86 · 5f110y Yie 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 86 par15/08C5OR 86C5 @ Belmont Park 02/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 86 · 6f110y Fm 123 · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 86 par2/10C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Belmont ParkKendrick Carmouche?6th6th0
2026-08-15SaratogaKendrick Carmouche?6th5th+1
2026-08-01SaratogaKendrick Carmouche?2nd2nd0
2026-06-20WoodbineEmma Jayne Wilson?1st2nd−1
2026-05-30WoodbineRomero Maragh?4th5th−1
2026-02-14GulfstreamMicah Husbands?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0730/0515/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +14.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20252nd11/486%88%+0.02
03/08/20259th10/382%20%-0.62
14/02/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
30/05/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
20/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
01/08/20262nd50/10%89%+0.89
15/08/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
02/10/20266th20/10%55%+0.55