Jaker
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 67
Charles Town · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Charles Town | Carlos Rodriguez | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-09-26 | Charles Town | Agustin Martinez | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-09-18 | Charles Town | Carlos Rodriguez | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-28 | Charles Town | Agustin Martinez | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-14 | Charles Town | Moises Santaella | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Charles Town | Moises Santaella | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/10/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |