4
You Name Him
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 63
Charles Town · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Charles Town | Antonio Lopez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Charles Town | Denis Araujo | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Charles Town | Jahnxander Raspaldo | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Charles Town | Jahnxander Raspaldo | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Charles Town | Joe Stokes | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/10/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |