6

Chain Of Command

5yo Colt · 9-1 · Draw 10

Deauville · Prix Du Buste De Francois-Andre Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y

#9

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chelmsford City 11/11/2023 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f Std 13011/1144 @ Kempton 20/12/2023 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 1332 @ Deauville 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS8/0422 @ Compiegne 09/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ ParisLongchamp 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS11/0622 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 20/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12320/0833 @ Saint-Cloud 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1304 @ Deauville 05/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1275/104projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-05DeauvilleJ Moutard44th5th−1
2026-09-07Saint-CloudM Grandin38th8th0
2026-08-20DeauvilleB Marie37th7th0
2026-06-28Saint-CloudAurelien Lemaitre214th13th+1
2026-06-11ParisLongchampAurelien Lemaitre27th6th+1
2026-05-09CompiegneT Bachelot29th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/119/0520/085/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength49%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/11/20236th16/116%38%+0.22
20/12/202310th14/126%25%-0.01
08/04/20265th28/10%50%+0.50
09/05/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
11/06/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
28/06/202614th50/10%7%+0.07
20/08/20267th66/10%45%+0.45
07/09/20268th28/10%0%0.00
05/10/20264th9/153%63%+0.10