Creativer

4yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 1

Deauville · Prix Du Buste De Francois-Andre Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARK

Move▬

Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C2.4

Today: 3

Class gap: +0.6

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-20	Fontainebleau	J Moutard	?	1st	3rd	−2	7.2
2026-09-05	Craon	H Lebouc	?	10th	7th	+2	2.6
2026-08-02	Le Lion D'angers	H Lebouc	2	4th	3rd	+1	7.2
2026-07-11	Clairefontaine	H Lebouc	2	5th	4th	+1	6.2
2026-06-18	ParisLongchamp	Miss M Rollando	3	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-05-16	Dieppe	B Flament	2	7th	6th	+1	4.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 78/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength71%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
02/04/2026	9th	40/1	0%	20%	+0.20
16/05/2026	7th	80/1	0%	33%	+0.33
18/06/2026	7th	25/1	0%	14%	+0.14
11/07/2026	5th	33/1	0%	33%	+0.33
02/08/2026	4th	11/1	42%	50%	+0.08
05/09/2026	10th	50/1	0%	0%	0.00
20/09/2026	1st	3/1	84%	100%	+0.16