8
Roulette
4yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 6
Deauville · Prix Du Buste De Francois-Andre Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
67%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Nancy | J Moutard | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | H Boutin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | M Calbrix | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | S Pasquier | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | S Pasquier | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | S Pasquier | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 11/4 | 86% | 31% | -0.55 |
| 12/05/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/10/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 85% | +0.00 |