5
Spanish Light
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 4
Deauville · Prix Du Buste De Francois-Andre Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | M Foulon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Toulouse | H Besnier | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | M Foulon | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | M Foulon | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | C Lecoeuvre | 2 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | A Pouchin | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 19/04/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 20/10/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |