3

Vino Sauro

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 8 · OR 70

Deauville · Prix Du Buste De Francois-Andre Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 4f 94y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Southwell 27/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13027/043C5 @ Meydan 07/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f Fas 1267/11C5C5 @ Meydan 05/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m Fas 1265/12C5C0 @ Meydan 09/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f110y Gd 1289/01C?C0 @ Meydan 16/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f Fas 11716/01C?4 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m142y Std 1421/0645 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m3f Goo 138 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 75 par23/065OR 75projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23NewburyC J Whiteley59th11th−2
2026-06-01WolverhamptonC J Whiteley46th7th−1
2026-01-16MeydanSaffie Osborne?13th13th0
2026-01-09MeydanSaffie Osborne?13th13th0
2025-12-05MeydanSaffie Osborne?12th14th−2
2025-11-07MeydanWilliam Carver?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/049/0123/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20253rd40/10%78%+0.78
07/11/20253rd9/488%78%-0.10
05/12/202512th9/488%15%-0.73
09/01/202613th33/10%14%+0.14
16/01/202613th28/10%20%+0.20
01/06/20266th40/10%50%+0.50
23/06/20269th50/10%0%0.00