14
Chonburi
10yo Mare · 8-13 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#15
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | X Bergeron | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | E Corallo | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | L Boisseau | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | L Boisseau | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | L Boisseau | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | F Valle Skar | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 21/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/04/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 24/04/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 19/05/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 02/07/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/08/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |