10

Eclair De Vati

8yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 10

Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Deauville 22/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12822/0144 @ Senonnes-Pouance 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Hvy 1214 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 12412/0744 @ Le Lion D'angers 02/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1174 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12411/0843 @ Deauville 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 116 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 1225/0943 @ Saint-Cloud 25/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Clairefontaine 20/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f91y Hvy 12020/10C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-20ClairefontaineC Grosbois?5th5th0
2026-09-25Saint-CloudH Lebouc39th8th+1
2026-09-05CraonC Grosbois47th7th0
2026-08-27DeauvilleL Boisseau34th3rd+1
2026-08-11DeauvilleD Santiago47th7th0
2026-08-02Le Lion D'angersS Just412th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/012/085/0920/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength59%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/01/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
13/03/20265th13/266%73%+0.08
12/07/20265th33/10%73%+0.73
02/08/202612th20/10%15%+0.15
11/08/20267th13/266%45%-0.20
27/08/20264th9/153%75%+0.22
05/09/20267th10/147%60%+0.13
25/09/20269th33/10%47%+0.47
20/10/20265th8/158%67%+0.09