15
La Momy
6yo Mare · 8-13 · Draw 3
Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 8.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Chantilly | F Valle Skar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | F Valle Skar | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | M Z Sahebjan | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | Marvin Grandin | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | Thomas Trullier | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | L Lenglart | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 04/06/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 07/10/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |