11
Parisian Belle
8yo Mare · 8-13 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Deauville | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | Aurelien Lemaitre | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | S Pasquier | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | S Pasquier | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | S Pasquier | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 11-16 · tight 75/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/12/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 29/08/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 14/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/10/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |