6
Qui Evidament Qui
4yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 16
Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 8.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | D Santiago | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-10-07 | Chantilly | D Santiago | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | D Santiago | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | D Santiago | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | D Santiago | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | A Subias | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 7-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength15%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/04/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 05/06/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 07/10/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 19/10/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |