2
Roxana Of Cecca
5yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 7
Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Compiegne | F Valle Skar | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | L Poggionovo | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | J Claudic | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | L Gallo | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | F Valle Skar | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | Marvin Grandin | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength30%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 30/12/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 15% | -0.00 |
| 10/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 27/03/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 31% | -0.11 |
| 17/04/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 03/05/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/09/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/10/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |