8
Semeur
11yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | S Just | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | A Subias | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | A Subias | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | A Subias | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | C Grosbois | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | S Just | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 22/01/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 18/02/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/07/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/08/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 11/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/08/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |