3
Zelina
6yo Mare · 9-5 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Saint-Cloud | S Pasquier | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | S Pasquier | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | S Pasquier | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | S Pasquier | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | A Crastus | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | Eddy Hardouin | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 39/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/11/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 11/03/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 31/03/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 10% | -0.37 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 54% | -0.07 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 25/09/2026 | 11th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |