7

Zygfryd
8yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 12
Deauville · Prix D'essay Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | Eddy Hardouin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-10-07 | Chantilly | Eddy Hardouin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | Eddy Hardouin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | Eddy Hardouin | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | Eddy Hardouin | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | D Santiago | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 55/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 04/05/2026 | 15th | 15/2 | 61% | 7% | -0.54 |
| 19/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 07/10/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 77% | -0.02 |
| 19/10/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |