7
It's Only Love
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 6
Deauville · Prix De La Rocque Maiden Stakes - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Saint-Cloud | A Pouchin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | M Guyon | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | A Pouchin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | I Mendizabal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | I Mendizabal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | I Mendizabal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 14/10/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |