IvyArcIvyArc
6

Moona Fal

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 11

Deauville · Prix De Saint-loyer-des-champs Handicap - Awt · 6f 211y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 07/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1287/07C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1281/08C5C5 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m44y Hvy 1285/09C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 25/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12725/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Saint-CloudC Demuro?5th5th0
2026-09-05CraonC Demuro?5th5th0
2026-08-01ClairefontaineC Demuro?3rd3rd0
2026-07-07ChantillyA Pouchin?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/071/085/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
01/08/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
05/09/20265th4/797%50%-0.47
25/09/20265th5/287%56%-0.31