8

Quiet Strength
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix De Saint-loyer-des-champs Handicap - Awt · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Chantilly | C Soumillon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | A Crastus | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | L Armance | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | A Crastus | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | A Crastus | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | L Armance | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 38/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 10/10/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 57% | -0.35 |