14
Amicis
6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 12
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | H Lebouc | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Senonnes-Pouance | Y Barille | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Deauville | H Lebouc | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Argentan | O Andigne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-26 | Pornichet | H Lebouc | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-06 | Pornichet | H Lebouc | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2024 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/01/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 23/01/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 06/02/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 26/03/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 26/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 19/10/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 23% | -0.32 |