5
Eskandani
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 14
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | C Grosbois | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | C Grosbois | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | C Grosbois | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | L Boisseau | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | L Boisseau | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | C Grosbois | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 53% | -0.12 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 30/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 07/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 04/05/2026 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 19/05/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 19/10/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |