8
Galilee Dream
6yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 5
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#16
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Nantes | J Guillochon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-10-01 | Argentan | P Bazire | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Amiens | P Bazire | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | P Bazire | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | A Baron | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | A Baron | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 11-16 · tight 75/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 09/05/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 02/08/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 27/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 01/10/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 45% | -0.33 |
| 14/10/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |