7
Great Charlie
8yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#13
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | M Bourgeais | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | H Lebouc | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | H Lebouc | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | M Bourgeais | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | H Lebouc | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | G Viel | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 30/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 19/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 02/08/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |
| 24/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |