1
Inmate
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength53%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | M Favriaux | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | M Lebas | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | M Favriaux | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | M Favriaux | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | M Favriaux | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | M Favriaux | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-16 · tight 23/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 24/09/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 42% | -0.44 |
| 19/10/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 53% | +0.11 |