Ladiva

6yo Mare · 9-1 · Draw 3

Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

71%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARK

Move▬

Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C3.4

Today: 4

Class gap: +0.6

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-14	Saint-Cloud	M Favriaux	?	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-09-25	Saint-Cloud	L Roussel	3	1st	0th	+1	5.0
2026-08-31	Saint-Cloud	M Favriaux	3	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-08-16	Deauville	M Favriaux	3	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-07-21	Chateaubriant	P Cheyer	4	12th	12th	0	1.0
2026-07-02	ParisLongchamp	P Cheyer	4	3rd	3rd	0	7.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 68/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength91%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
02/05/2026	2nd	7/1	63%	93%	+0.30
15/05/2026	4th	13/2	66%	80%	+0.14
13/06/2026	6th	7/2	82%	64%	-0.17
02/07/2026	3rd	13/2	66%	86%	+0.20
21/07/2026	12th	9/1	53%	21%	-0.31
16/08/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	86%	+0.70
31/08/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	86%	+0.38
25/09/2026	1st	13/2	66%	100%	+0.34
14/10/2026	1st	4/1	79%	100%	+0.21