15
Lucas Trezy
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Lyon La Soie | L Boisseau | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | F Lefebvre | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | M Velon | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | M Velon | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | M Velon | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | A Crastus | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 39/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 18/02/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 11/03/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 8% | -0.55 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 09/09/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 31% | -0.56 |
| 21/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 11/10/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |