13
Miss Parano
5yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 4
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | A Merou | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Toulouse | A Merou | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | A Merou | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Toulouse | A Merou | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Mont De Marsan | A Jardel | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Pau | M Protti | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/02/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/03/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |
| 08/10/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |