9
Paco
8yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 16
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Lyon La Soie | M Velon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-10-07 | Chantilly | M Velon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-29 | Chantilly | Coralie Pacaut | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | M Velon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | A Crastus | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | L Gallo | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 29/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 07/10/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 11/10/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |