11

Proxima Centauri

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 7

Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#14

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength31%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lyon La Soie 24/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 13024/0243 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12321/0743 @ Deauville 06/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS11/0833 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 1295/0943 @ Chantilly 29/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Deauville 19/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12819/10C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-19DeauvilleC Grosbois?8th8th0
2026-09-29ChantillyC Grosbois313th12th+1
2026-09-05CraonM Protti414th14th0
2026-08-29ClairefontaineC Grosbois312th11th+1
2026-08-11DeauvilleX Bergeron311th10th+1
2026-08-06DeauvilleX Bergeron311th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/026/085/0919/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 9-13 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength35%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/02/20268th9/153%36%-0.16
12/07/202616th66/10%0%0.00
21/07/202613th25/10%8%+0.08
06/08/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
11/08/202611th66/10%9%+0.09
29/08/202612th25/10%27%+0.27
05/09/202614th25/10%13%+0.13
29/09/202613th28/10%8%+0.08
19/10/20268th18/15%46%+0.41