4
Sin City
4yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | J Moutard | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Amiens | A Crastus | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | S Pasquier | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | F Lefebvre | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-08-06 | Clairefontaine | T Bachelot | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -11.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 19/10/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |