16
Spinning Mist
9yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 6
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | L Plommee | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | C Macchieraldo | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | C Macchieraldo | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | M Guyon | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | L Plommee | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | S Just | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 7-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/02/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 27/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/09/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 19/10/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |