Ambra Antica
4yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 13
Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 8.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Chantilly | F Valle Skar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Amiens | A Vilchien | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | Luca Carboni | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | Aurelien Lemaitre | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | M Velon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | A Pouchin | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 16/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 30/03/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 16/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 16/08/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 27/09/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 07/10/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |