13

Close Up

4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 14

Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#15

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Mans 29/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 11929/10C5C5 @ Pornichet 05/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 1285/12C5C5 @ Pornichet 28/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 12828/12C54 @ Le Mans 11/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12811/0944 @ Craon 27/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Ver 13227/094C0 @ Nantes 14/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12114/10C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-14NantesH Journiac?6th6th0
2026-09-27CraonL Brechet47th7th0
2026-09-11Le MansL Brechet415th15th0
2025-12-28PornichetH Journiac?6th7th−1
2025-12-05PornichetH Journiac?10th11th−1
2025-10-29Le MansH Journiac?8th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/105/1228/1211/0927/0914/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 8-15 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength15%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20258th40/10%42%+0.42
05/12/202510th12/137%40%+0.03
28/12/20256th16/116%44%+0.29
11/09/202615th16/116%0%-0.16
27/09/20267th20/10%45%+0.45
14/10/20266th11/142%58%+0.16