8

Dahariz
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#13
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Les Sables | L Poggionovo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-10-01 | Argentan | L Poggionovo | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Senonnes-Pouance | L Poggionovo | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | L Poggionovo | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | L Poggionovo | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | L Poggionovo | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 13-15 · tight 84/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 19/09/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 9% | -0.51 |
| 01/10/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 13/10/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |