15

Dariyangel
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲6877
Strength23%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6881.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6880.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -6876.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | L Plommee | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-29 | Chantilly | L Plommee | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | L Plommee | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | L Plommee | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | L Plommee | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | L Plommee | 34392 | 5th | 41271th | −34388 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 29/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 19/10/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |