
Elauneil
6yo Mare · 9-6 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Les Sables | Coralie Pacaut | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | A Crastus | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pau | H Mouesan | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | H Mouesan | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Pau | H Mouesan | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Pau | N M Lopes Duarte | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/11/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 28/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 20/02/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 15% | -0.37 |
| 23/03/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |
| 13/10/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |