4

Elauneil

6yo Mare · 9-6 · Draw 9

Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#3

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 20/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Ver 12920/10C?C0 @ Deauville 06/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 132C0 @ Pau 28/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12528/11C?C5 @ Pau 02/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1244 @ Pau 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12023/0143 @ Pau 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Pau 20/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS20/0233 @ Chantilly 23/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Les Sables 13/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f152y GS 12313/10C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13Les SablesCoralie Pacaut?2nd2nd0
2026-03-23ChantillyA Crastus310th9th+1
2026-02-20PauH Mouesan312th11th+1
2026-02-08PauH Mouesan33rd2nd+1
2026-01-23PauH Mouesan43rd3rd0
2026-01-02PauN M Lopes Duarte?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/102/0120/0213/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 23/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20258th28/10%50%+0.50
06/11/20258th12/137%53%+0.16
28/11/20259th12/137%27%-0.10
02/01/20264th18/15%70%+0.65
23/01/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82
08/02/20263rd20/10%86%+0.86
20/02/202612th9/153%15%-0.37
23/03/202610th12/137%36%-0.01
13/10/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37