12
Kitten Dream
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 6
Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | M Justum | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Pau | M Foulon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Toulouse | M Romary | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-21 | Le Mans | M Foulon | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 06/02/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |