14

Murano

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 15

Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 28/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12428/12C?4 @ Pornichet 07/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 1324 @ Pornichet 24/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 12524/0143 @ Deauville 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Pornichet 18/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 13018/0243 @ Chantilly 25/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Pornichet 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 13025/0344 @ Argentan 09/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f91y Sft 132C0 @ Les Sables 13/10/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f152y GS 13113/10C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13Les SablesJ Lacroix?10th10th0
2026-04-09ArgentanJ Lacroix45th5th0
2026-03-25PornichetJ Lacroix45th5th0
2026-02-25ChantillyJ Lacroix31st0th+1
2026-02-18PornichetJ Lacroix43rd3rd0
2026-02-06DeauvilleJ Lacroix34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/126/0225/0313/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 6-15 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/12/20252nd7/282%92%+0.11
07/01/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
24/01/20265th3/184%71%-0.13
06/02/20264th14/126%79%+0.52
18/02/20263rd10/382%87%+0.04
25/02/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
25/03/20265th13/266%56%-0.10
09/04/20265th16/116%69%+0.53
13/10/202610th40/10%0%0.00