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2

Orange Vif

7yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 10

Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Compiegne 27/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS27/0334 @ Evreux 15/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1254 @ Compiegne 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y GS 13225/0543 @ Compiegne 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Clairefontaine 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 1471/0843 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Saint-Cloud 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS7/0934 @ Compiegne 24/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m208y GS 143C0 @ Saint-Cloud 14/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12714/10C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-14Saint-CloudR Thomas?4th4th0
2026-09-24CompiegneP Menges41st1st0
2026-09-07Saint-CloudR Thomas34th3rd+1
2026-08-16DeauvilleR Thomas31st0th+1
2026-08-01ClairefontaineMr D H Dunsdon41st1st0
2026-06-13CompiegneJ Claudic33rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0313/067/0914/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +5.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20268th11/142%53%+0.11
15/04/20269th7/282%11%-0.70
25/05/20267th7/163%50%-0.13
13/06/20263rd9/153%86%+0.33
01/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
16/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
07/09/20264th6/168%77%+0.08
24/09/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
14/10/20264th7/163%80%+0.17