5
Piano Bar
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 16
Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#14
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Craon | A Baron | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | A Bourgeais | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | A Baron | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | M Marquette | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2025-06-06 | Compiegne | A Baron | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-05-20 | Angers | A Baron | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2024 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 30/03/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 21/04/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 20/05/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 06/06/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 20/08/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |