7

Polminhac
7yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 12
Deauville · Prix De Beaufosse Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲11462
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6883.6 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C11466.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -11462.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | J Moutard | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | A Vilchien | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | A Vilchien | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | A Vilchien | 34392 | 3rd | 41269th | −34388 |
| 2025-12-29 | Deauville | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Deauville | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 23/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 26/08/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 25/11/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 29/12/2025 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/10/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |