11
Anticipation Zero
4yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Tocqueville - Awt · 7f 100y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Strasbourg | P Cheyer | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | I Mendizabal | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | B Marie | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Deauville | L Boisseau | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Chantilly | B Marie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Saint-Cloud | B Marie | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 30/12/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 29/03/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/09/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 04/10/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |