9
Belvedere Palace
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Tocqueville - Awt · 7f 100y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Deauville | A Hamelin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-10-05 | Deauville | M Grandin | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | Eddy Hardouin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | L Poggionovo | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | L Poggionovo | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | L Poggionovo | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 08/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 20/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 05/10/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 21/10/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |