1
Woff
8yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 10
Deauville · Prix Du Chateau De Tocqueville - Awt · 7f 100y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | ParisLongchamp | W Levesque | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-10-05 | Deauville | W Levesque | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | N Guilbert | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | W Levesque | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | W Levesque | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | W Levesque | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 56% | -0.37 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 05/10/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/10/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |