2

Master Locksley

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Down Royal · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up on his sole start in points. Encouraging 8¼-length fourth on hurdling debut at Gowran (2½m), lost momentum 3 out/rallied to finish with running left. That form has been franked and he's another likely improver up in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 02/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 2m4f40y Gd 1662/10C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Gowran ParkBen Harvey?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20264th25/10%81%+0.81