9
Mystery Decision
7yo Mare · 11-5
Down Royal · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | Eoghan Finegan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Kilbeggan | Eoghan Finegan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |