7

Rossnowlagh

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Down Royal · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

300/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★ Timeform

Commentary

Went with no encouragement in a course bumper in May. Now sent hurdling over longer trip in first-time tongue strap/hood. Easy enough to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f88y Gd 1644/05C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-04Down RoyalPeter Smithers?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength5%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/202611th25/10%9%+0.09