4
Unfortunatecharlie
7yo Gelding · 11-12
Down Royal · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Fairyhouse | Erin Dunseath | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | Erin Dunseath | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -26.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 05/10/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |