13
Annie Button
6yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 86
Down Royal · Eventsec Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m 45y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Listowel | Danny Gilligan | BHA84 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | Danny Gilligan | BHA84 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | Danny Gilligan | BHA78 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Limerick | Jordan Gainford | BHA79 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Naas | Jordan Gainford | BHA76 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Limerick | Miss Georgie Benson | BHA79 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 2053% of fieldRange 2-20 · tight 29/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2025 | 16th | 250/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 22/02/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 23/03/2025 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/12/2025 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/05/2026 | 11th | 11/4 | 86% | 23% | -0.62 |
| 26/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 81% | +0.18 |